Credibility "Expert" Hits Below The Belt!

Comment from a reader on "Real Enforcement":

THE CREDIBILITY OF SUBIC BULLETIN IS IN QUESTION

Hey Subic Bulletin, anyone who had completed a simple course in probability and statistics would know that your claim that there is 0% probability of someone being killed by a speeding driver on the SCTEX is absolutely ludicrous.

Speeding is primarily a function of the driver, his attitude and his level of maturity, not the highway. The type of highway can only be considered a contributing factor. Therefore, the statistical probability that a person would be killed by a speeding driver on the SCTEX or any other highway could never be considered to be zero.

It also seems from your history of discussing accidents and speeding on your blog that you tend to condone speeding, are impressed by sports cars and resent enforcement of speed laws. Whether you agree with the law and its enforcement or not, you are obligated to obey all traffic regulations for the sake of the safety of others, including yourself. It is a social responsibility that is severely lacking in this country.

Your credibility is also hurt by the fact that you regularly seem to have difficulty spelling correctly on your blog. The word "foreigner" is a word with which you most recently seem to have particular difficulty. Maybe you are intimidated by that word for some reason. I don't claim to be able to solve all of your problems, but I do know your credibility and that of your blog suffer considerably as a result.

Please at least use a spell checker or get a dictionary. If you want to discuss probability and statistics authoritatively, then please take at least one course at a good university first.

[The Subic Bulletin] Say what?

"anyone who had completed a simple course in probability and statistics"

Lets start off at the dictionary definition from the Encarta Dictionary (North America) lists statistics under probability as follows:

STATISTICS the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes in the set of outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes

It seems you may have over estimated your expertise in this area!

Statistics are statistics, these are based on a mathematical equation which samples an occurrence and you can't bend them to suit what you think might happen based on human elements.

If you want to argue your case as the expert in credible statistics you may have suggested that the sample size (length of time expressway has been open) is not big enough or that the statistics should be based on other expressways and you could have CREDIBLY won your point, but disappointingly your comment focused on trying to discredit others with nonsense.

Thanks for your contribution.